Garmin Ltd. (GRMN) – Fair Value & Investment Analysis

Garmin Ltd. (GRMN) is listed on NYSE and operates in the Hardware, Equipment & Parts industry (Technology sector).

Current Price
$228.73
Market Cap
$44.1B
Estimated Fair Value
$184.88
Fair Value Range
$175.60 – $194.17
Margin of Safety
-23.7%
Growth Classification
High Growth

Garmin Ltd. designs, develops, manufactures, markets, and distributes a range of wireless devices in the Americas, the Asia Pacific, Australian Continent, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. Its Fitness segment offers running and multi-sport watches; cycling products; activity tracking and smartwatch devices; and fitness and cycling accessories. This segment also provides Garmin Connect and Garmin Connect Mobile, which are web and mobile platforms; and Connect IQ, an application development platform. The company's Outdoor segment offers adventure watches, outdoor handhelds, golf devices and mobile apps, and dog tracking and training devices. Its Aviation segment designs, manufactures, and markets various aircraft avionics solutions comprising integrated flight decks, electronic flight displays and instrumentation, navigation and communication products, automatic flight control systems and safety-enhancing technologies, audio control systems, engine indication systems, traffic awareness and avoidance solutions, ADS-B and transponder solutions, weather information and avoidance solutions, datalink and connectivity solutions, portable GPS navigators and wearables, and various services products. The company's Marine segment provides chartplotters and multi-function displays, cartography products, fish finders, sonar products, autopilot systems, radars, compliant instrument displays and sensors, VHF communication radios, handhelds and wearable devices, sailing products, entert...

V-TRAGE Screening Summary

Safety

Valuation

Analyst Recommendations

RatingAnalysts
Strong Buy1
Buy5
Hold20
Sell2
Strong Sell0

Company Overview

Garmin Ltd., founded in 1989 and based in Schaffhausen, Switzerland, operates in the technology sector, focusing on hardware, equipment, and parts. The company designs, develops, manufactures, markets, and distributes a variety of wireless devices globally, including in the Americas, Asia Pacific, Australia, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. Garmin's Fitness segment includes running and multi-sport watches, cycling products, activity trackers, smartwatches, and related accessories. It also offers web and mobile platforms like Garmin Connect and Connect IQ for application development. The Outdoor segment features adventure watches, handheld devices, golf products, and dog tracking and training devices. In Aviation, Garmin provides avionics solutions, including flight decks, navigation and communication products, and safety-enhancing technologies. The Marine segment offers chartplotters, sonar products, autopilot systems, and communication radios. The Auto segment includes embedded computing models, infotainment systems, and personal navigation devices. Garmin's products are available through independent and online retailers, dealers, distributors, and its own online store, garmin.com.

Historical Performance

Over the past three fiscal years, the company has demonstrated robust revenue growth, with a consistent increase at a 17.7% CAGR, rising from $5.23 billion in 2023 to $7.25 billion in 2025. This growth has been accompanied by an improvement in operating margins, which expanded by 5.0 percentage points from 20.9% to 25.9%, indicating effective operating leverage as the company scaled. However, net margins showed some inconsistency, decreasing by 1.7 percentage points to 22.9% by 2025, suggesting potential challenges in managing net profitability despite the revenue growth. On the cash flow front, both operating cash flow and free cash flow consistently increased, with OCF growing at an 8.9% CAGR to $1.63 billion and FCF at a 7.4% CAGR to $1.36 billion. Despite this growth, the FCF margin compressed by 3.8 percentage points to 18.8%, which may reflect increased capital expenditures or other cash outflows. The company's net cash position improved, with net debt decreasing from -$1.58 billion to -$2.11 billion, highlighting a strengthening balance sheet. Additionally, the return on invested capital (ROIC) consistently increased, reaching 24.2%, underscoring efficient capital utilization. However, the cash conversion ratio declined to 0.98, indicating a slight deterioration in the quality of earnings being converted into cash. The share count increased by 0.8%, leading to minor dilution, which slightly moderated per-share growth metrics. Overall, the company has shown strong revenue and cash flow growth, with some areas for improvement in net margin management and cash conversion quality.

Recent News

Garmin's recent developments highlight a mix of financial anticipation and strategic product advancements. The company is poised for its upcoming earnings report, with speculation on whether it will surpass estimates again, as noted by Zacks Investment Research on April 20. This follows a recommendation to include Garmin in a stable portfolio of health and fitness stocks for Q2. On the product front, Garmin unveiled the D2 Mach 2 Pro on April 14, its first aviator smartwatch featuring inReach technology for enhanced connectivity, alongside advanced aviation tools and health monitoring features. Additionally, Garmin has integrated with Natural Cycles, allowing select smartwatch users to access FDA-cleared birth control app functionalities, enhancing reproductive health insights. In terms of institutional activity, GraniteShares Advisors LLC invested $727,000 in Garmin, acquiring 3,584 shares, while Apollon Wealth Management LLC reduced its holdings, reflecting routine portfolio adjustments. These developments underscore Garmin's strategic focus on innovation in aviation and health technology, while maintaining investor interest through stable financial performance and market positioning.